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Caramba vs FK Alberts

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Caramba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Caramba
15%
Draws
0%
FK Alberts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caramba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caramba come out ahead of FK Alberts on wins alone.
  • Caramba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Caramba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Caramba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Caramba Clean Sheet 20%
FK Alberts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caramba FK Alberts
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 0 2
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 3.56 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.5 3.53
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2021 Latvian Cup
Caramba vs FK Alberts
2:0
Jul 3, 2016 Latvian Cup
FK Alberts vs Caramba
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caramba 85 / 100
FK Alberts 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caramba FK Alberts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caramba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caramba found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (16 games).

FK Alberts has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FK Alberts's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caramba VS FK Alberts
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caramba

(Home)
31 Jul
FK Auda Riga
3 : 1
Caramba
17 Jul
Caramba
11 : 0
Valka
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
04 Aug
Caramba
1 : 2
FK Karosta
13 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 1
Caramba
Page 1 of 4

FK Alberts

(Away)
14 May
Speks
4 : 3
FK Alberts
16 May
Bauskas / Memele
4 : 0
FK Alberts
26 May
Kekava-Auda
5 : 1
FK Alberts
22 May
FK Alberts
1 : 4
LSPA
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas -
TBD -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
TBD -
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FK Smiltene -
RTU 1
JFC Viola 2
TBD -
Riga United -
Sigulda -
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DSVK Traktors -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine -
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Speks -
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe -
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Kengaroos -
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
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TBD -
SK Babite 3
Dobele Allegro 0
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Skanste -
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Gauja -
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe -
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Talsi -
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba -
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FK Alberts -
Lielupe -
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Valka -
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks -
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FK Limbazi -
Aliance -
TBD -
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Bebri -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
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TBD -
Bauskas / Memele -
TBD -
TBD -
Livani -
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
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FK Madona Kvarcs -
TBD -
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Latgols / Ludza -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Karosta -
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Preilu BJSS 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
JFC Viola 5
Riga United 0
Sigulda 4
DSVK Traktors 3
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine 0
Speks 2
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe 4
Kengaroos 5
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
SK Babite -
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Skanste 5
Gauja 1
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 5
Talsi 3
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba 2
FK Alberts 0
Lielupe 1
Valka 3
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks 0
FK Limbazi 10
Aliance 4
Bebri 2
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele 1
Livani 5
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Latgols / Ludza 3
Albatroz -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Karosta 1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 0
FK Smiltene 6
JFC Viola 5
Sigulda 2
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems 2
Speks 4
Jekabpils SC 0
Grobina 2
Kengaroos 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Alberts JDFS 1
SK Babite 0
Skanste 4
Tente 0
TBD -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Caramba 11
Valka 0
Riga FC -
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FK Limbazi 4
Aliance 0
Tukums 2000 4
Livani 0
Salaspils FK 0
Rezekne 7
Super Nova 6
Sports United/Cesis 0
FK Varaklani 0
Latgols / Ludza 5
Albatroz 5
FK Karosta 1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene 2
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Speks 4
Grobina 2
Dinamo Riga 9
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Skanste 2
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Caramba 1
Riga FC -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 0
Tukums 2000 2
Rezekne 3
Super Nova 1
Latgols / Ludza 0
Albatroz 1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 3
Spartaks Jurmala 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
Valmiera -
TBD -
Speks 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Skanste 0
RFS 2
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Riga FC 3
Tukums 2000 1
Rezekne 0
Albatroz 3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Valmiera 5
Dinamo Riga 0
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 3
Albatroz 0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
Final
FK Liepaja 0
RFS 1