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Caramba vs FK Liepaja

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Afanasjevs V.
25' Event
Berenfelds N.
27' Event
Gauracs E.

AI Match Summary

FK Liepaja in this Latvian Cup 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Caramba
6%
Draws
4%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caramba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Liepaja have won more games recently than Caramba.
  • Model gives Caramba a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Latvian Cup 2016/2017 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Caramba Clean Sheet 19%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caramba FK Liepaja
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2016 Latvian Cup
Caramba vs FK Liepaja
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caramba Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakvnishvili G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauracs E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Afanasjevs V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caramba 85 / 100
FK Liepaja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caramba FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caramba found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (16 games).

Defensive concern: FK Liepaja conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Caramba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Liepaja
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kuldigas NSS3
FK Salacgriva0
TBD-
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Caramba-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Alberts-
DSVK Traktors-
TBD-
TBD-
Mersrags-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze3
Upesciems1
TBD-
Saldus-
Valmiera-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite-
Ogre-
TBD-
TBD-
Preilu BJSS-
Aliance-
TBD-
Salaspils FK0
SK Cesis2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
Alberts JDFS-
Dinamo Riga1
Ludzas SK0
TBD-
Jekabpils SC-
Skonto-
TBD-
TBD-
JFC Dobele-
Fortuna / Ogre-
TBD-
Grobina3
Kraslava8
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
Plavinas1
Nica FC2
Igate/Tami-Tami4
Riga United1
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Bebri-
TBD-
FK Limbazi2
FK Dobele3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
1/32-finals
Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kuldigas NSS6
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS0
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne2
Caramba6
FK Alberts0
DSVK Traktors2
Mersrags3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze-
Saldus-
Valmiera0
SK Babite6
Ogre1
Preilu BJSS0
Aliance1
SK Cesis2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AFA Olaine3
Alberts JDFS0
Dinamo Riga0
Jekabpils SC2
Skonto17
JFC Dobele0
Fortuna / Ogre0
Kraslava4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga3
Nica FC1
Igate/Tami-Tami0
Tukums 20006
Bebri6
FK Dobele2
TBD-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
1/16-finals
Ventspils-
TBD-
Kuldigas NSS1
Rezekne16
Caramba8
Mersrags0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Metta-
TBD-
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze0
SK Babite3
Ogre4
SK Cesis0
TBD-
RFS-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
AFA Olaine1
Jekabpils SC2
Skonto5
Kraslava0
TBD-
Jelgava-
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga2
Tukums 20004
Bebri8
Lielupe1
TBD-
Riga FC-
1/8-finals
Ventspils2
Rezekne0
Caramba2
FK Liepaja5
FK Metta2
SK Babite0
Ogre0
RFS7
Spartaks Jurmala10
Jekabpils SC0
Skonto0
Jelgava2
BFC Daugavpils1
Tukums 20000
Bebri0
Riga FC4
Quarter-finals
Ventspils3
FK Liepaja0
FK Metta0
RFS1
Spartaks Jurmala1
Jelgava0
BFC Daugavpils0
Riga FC3
Semi-finals
Ventspils2
RFS1
Spartaks Jurmala1
Riga FC4
Final
Ventspils3
Riga FC2