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Caramba vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2017
Caramba Logo

Caramba

Mon, Jun 19, 2017
VS
04:00 PM
Grobina Logo

Grobina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2017. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Caramba at 3.56 goals for, 1.5 against; Grobina at 0.87 for, 1.84 against. Past meetings favor Grobina slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 19, 2017, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.29 - 0.74) back Caramba to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Caramba
20%
Draws
29%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caramba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caramba come out ahead of Grobina on wins alone.
  • Caramba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Caramba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grobina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Caramba Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caramba Grobina
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 0 11
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 3.56 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2017 Latvian Cup
Caramba vs Grobina
0:0
Jun 11, 2017 Latvian Cup
Caramba vs Grobina
4:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caramba 85 / 100
Grobina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caramba Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caramba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caramba scored in 100% of their last 16 outings.

Defensive concern: Grobina conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caramba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grobina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caramba

(Home)
31 Jul
FK Auda Riga
3 : 1
Caramba
17 Jul
Caramba
11 : 0
Valka
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
04 Aug
Caramba
1 : 2
FK Karosta
13 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 1
Caramba
Page 1 of 4

Grobina

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
FK Sirius 0
TBD -
Aliance -
DSVK Traktors 2
Salaspils FK 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
BFK Salaspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
Nica FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Priekuli -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 1
Ludzas NSS 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 5
FK Limbazi 0
FK Alberts 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 10
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 3
SK Cesis 0
Bauskas / Memele 0
Gulbene 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
FK Roja / Kolka 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
New Project 0
Upesciems 2
Super Nova -
TBD -
Super Nova -
Nikers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
Aliance 1
DSVK Traktors 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 8
Lielupe 1
BFK Salaspils 0
Fk Jurnieks Riga 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba 1
Nica FC 0
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera 8
Priekuli 0
Ogre 1
RTU 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 0
Monarhs 6
BFC Daugavpils -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
Rezekne 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Gulbene 1
FK Auda Riga -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
Upesciems -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 1
Nikers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 5
Fk Jurnieks Riga 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Caramba 4
Grobina 5
Valmiera 2
RTU 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 0
Monarhs 12
BFC Daugavpils 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 7
Nikers 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
Riga FC 5
Preilu BJSS 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Jelgava 8
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Grobina 0
Valmiera 0
FK Metta 3
Ventspils 9
Monarhs 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
FK Karosta -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 0
RFS 4
Quarter-finals
Riga FC 3
Jelgava 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Metta 0
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 2
FK Karosta 0
RFS 7
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 4
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 0
FK Liepaja 2