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Carapinheirense vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Carapinheirense host GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Carapinheirense have conceded 1.38 and scored 0.5. Past meetings favor Carapinheirense slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.19, favoring Carapinheirense. Carapinheirense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Carapinheirense
39%
Draws
31%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Carapinheirense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Carapinheirense Clean Sheet 20%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carapinheirense GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 7 2
Draws 10 2
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Carapinheirense vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0:0
Nov 29, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Carapinheirense
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carapinheirense 31 / 100
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carapinheirense GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carapinheirense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Carapinheirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carapinheirense VS GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00