Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carapinheirense vs Oliveira Hospital

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carapinheirense play Oliveira Hospital in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Carapinheirense averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Oliveira Hospital averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.56 conceded. In past meetings, Carapinheirense won 0, Oliveira Hospital won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Carapinheirense and 1.24 for Oliveira Hospital. This points to a Oliveira Hospital double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Carapinheirense
34%
Draws
45%
Oliveira Hospital
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Carapinheirense picked up more points recently compared to Oliveira Hospital.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Carapinheirense Clean Sheet 19%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carapinheirense Oliveira Hospital
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 16
Draws 10 11
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oliveira Hospital vs Carapinheirense
2:0
Nov 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Carapinheirense vs Oliveira Hospital
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carapinheirense 23 / 100
Oliveira Hospital 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carapinheirense Oliveira Hospital

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Oliveira Hospital or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Carapinheirense attacking → ← attacking Oliveira Hospital

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carapinheirense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Oliveira Hospital let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Carapinheirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Oliveira Hospital lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 59
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00