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Carapinheirense vs Pinhalnovense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Ferreira Pires M. A.
89' Event
Celestino P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Carapinheirense host Pinhalnovense in the Taça de Portugal 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pinhalnovense have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Carapinheirense have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Carapinheirense have won 0 to Pinhalnovense's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2020, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.55, favoring Pinhalnovense. Pinhalnovense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Carapinheirense
39%
Draws
31%
Pinhalnovense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pinhalnovense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Carapinheirense.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Taça de Portugal 2020/2021 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Carapinheirense Clean Sheet 15%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carapinheirense Pinhalnovense
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2020 Taça de Portugal
Carapinheirense vs Pinhalnovense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carapinheirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pinhalnovense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira Pires M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carapinheirense 30 / 100
Pinhalnovense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carapinheirense Pinhalnovense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carapinheirense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Pinhalnovense let in goals in 68% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Carapinheirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pinhalnovense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pinhalnovense
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Berco1
Vilaverdense FC2
SC Lourinhanense0
Santarem3
U. Madeira0
Tirsense5
TBD-
Montijo-
Trofense1
Vila Mea0
TBD-
Agueda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
UC Idanhense-
TBD-
Torreense3
Uniao Almeirim0
Alverca3
Guadalupe0
Porto da Cruz1
Camacha4
Uniao Montemor-
TBD-
TBD-
Feirense-
Amora-
TBD-
Ferreiras3
Louletano2
Sao Joao de Ver1
Lusitania FC0
Portalegrense0
Marinhense11
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz2
Alqueidao1
TBD-
Cova De Piedade-
Sporting Ideal4
Vale Formoso0
TBD-
Merelinense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moreirense-
Africanos Braganca-
TBD-
TBD-
Arouca-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
Moura AC2
Culatrense0
Beira Mar1
Oliveira Hospital0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Santa Clara-
Fazendense0
1º Dezembro2
FC Crato0
Leiria4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portimonense-
Fatima0
Oleiros3
Aguia Vimioso1
SC Mirandela2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
Maria de Fonte1
CDC Montalegre2
Aguiar da Beira1
Vila Cortez4
Vitoria Setubal-
TBD-
TBD-
Academico Viseu-
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira1
Juv. Evora2
TBD-
Academica-
Rebordelo-
TBD-
TBD-
Varzim-
SC Vila Real1
Mondinense0
TBD-
Casa Pia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nacional-
UD Ovarense-
TBD-
Oriental Dragon3
Fayal0
Santa Marta Penaguiao2
Cinfaes0
TBD-
Leixoes-
Alcains2
Vitoria Sernache3
Fabril do Barreiro2
CD Rabo Peixe0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Porto-
FC Felgueiras3
Aves0
Coimbroes1
Valadares Gaia FC2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tondela-
Esperanca de Lagos-
TBD-
TBD-
Penafiel-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maritimo-
Pedras Rubras2
Amarante FC1
TBD-
SC Salgueiros-
Caldas SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Covilha-
Anca3
Tocha1
Sacavenense2
Sintrense0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Sesimbra-
TBD-
TBD-
Oliveirense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Desportivo Moncao-
TBD-
FC Barreirense3
FC Madalena0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rio Ave-
Cerveira2
Brito0
TBD-
Oriental-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Famalicao-
Sertanense1
SB Castelo Branco0
TBD-
Estoril-
Olhanense0
Lusitano GC2
TBD-
Mortagua FC-
Camara de Lobos2
Leca1
TBD-
Vizela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boavista-
Lusitano GC0
Moncarapachense1
Anadia2
Condeixa0
Calvao0
Carapinheirense1
Pinhalnovense2
Atletico CP0
Sao Roque0
Estrela da Amadora3
Lusitano FCV1
Aguias do Moradal0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Farense-
Sao Martinho2
Pevidem0
Paredes1
Castro Daire0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
Vidago-
TBD-
TBD-
Vilafranquense-
Ferreira de Aves0
Sanjoanense1
Canelas 20102
FC Foz0
GD Braganca0
AD Limianos1
Aljustrelense1
Praia Milfontes0
GD Fontinhas-
TBD-
TBD-
Mafra-
Pero Pinheiro1
SC Praiense0
Cacadores Taipas0
AD Fafe3
FC Amares0
SC Vianense1
TBD-
Vilar de Perdizes-
Tomar2
AD Portomosense3
Real SC3
SC Lusitania0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BSAD-
SC Espinho-
TBD-
TBD-
Chaves-
Ericeirense0
GS Loures3
Gondomar7
Meda0
1/64-finals
Vilaverdense FC2
Santarem1
Tirsense2
Montijo3
Trofense4
Agueda2
TBD-
Braga-
UC Idanhense0
Torreense8
Alverca2
Camacha1
Uniao Montemor0
Feirense2
Amora1
Ferreiras0
Sao Joao de Ver0
Marinhense1
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz1
Cova De Piedade4
Sporting Ideal0
Merelinense1
TBD-
Moreirense-
Africanos Braganca0
Arouca5
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
Moura AC0
Beira Mar2
TBD-
Santa Clara-
1º Dezembro1
Leiria2
TBD-
Portimonense-
Oleiros3
SC Mirandela2
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
CDC Montalegre3
Vila Cortez1
Vitoria Setubal0
Academico Viseu1
Juv. Evora1
Academica3
Rebordelo1
Varzim3
SC Vila Real2
Casa Pia3
TBD-
Nacional-
UD Ovarense1
Oriental Dragon2
Santa Marta Penaguiao1
Leixoes5
Vitoria Sernache0
Fabril do Barreiro2
TBD-
FC Porto-
FC Felgueiras2
Valadares Gaia FC1
TBD-
Tondela-
Esperanca de Lagos1
Penafiel3
TBD-
Maritimo-
Pedras Rubras2
SC Salgueiros3
Caldas SC1
Covilha2
Anca2
Sacavenense3
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Sesimbra1
Oliveirense4
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Desportivo Moncao2
FC Barreirense0
TBD-
Rio Ave-
Cerveira0
Oriental2
TBD-
Famalicao-
Sertanense0
Estoril4
Lusitano GC2
Mortagua FC1
Camara de Lobos0
Vizela2
TBD-
Boavista-
Moncarapachense1
Anadia2
Carapinheirense0
Pinhalnovense2
Estrela da Amadora2
Lusitano FCV0
TBD-
SC Farense-
Sao Martinho1
Paredes2
TBD-
Benfica-
Vidago1
Vilafranquense5
Sanjoanense1
Canelas 20100
AD Limianos2
Aljustrelense1
GD Fontinhas1
Mafra0
Pero Pinheiro0
AD Fafe1
SC Vianense0
Vilar de Perdizes1
AD Portomosense0
Real SC3
TBD-
BSAD-
SC Espinho1
Chaves0
GS Loures0
Gondomar2
1/32-finals
Vilaverdense FC2
Montijo3
Trofense1
Braga2
Torreense2
Alverca0
Feirense0
Amora1
Marinhense1
Cova De Piedade2
Merelinense0
Moreirense1
Arouca0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Beira Mar1
Santa Clara3
Leiria1
Portimonense0
Oleiros0
Gil Vicente1
CDC Montalegre2
Academico Viseu3
Academica1
Varzim0
Casa Pia2
Nacional3
Oriental Dragon0
Leixoes1
Fabril do Barreiro0
FC Porto2
FC Felgueiras0
Tondela1
Penafiel2
Maritimo3
SC Salgueiros2
Covilha1
Sacavenense1
Sporting CP7
Oliveirense0
Pacos Ferreira4
Desportivo Moncao1
Rio Ave2
Oriental0
Famalicao3
Estoril5
Lusitano GC0
Vizela0
Boavista1
Anadia2
Pinhalnovense1
Estrela da Amadora2
SC Farense0
Paredes0
Benfica1
Vilafranquense2
Sanjoanense1
AD Limianos1
GD Fontinhas2
AD Fafe5
Vilar de Perdizes1
Real SC0
BSAD2
SC Espinho2
Gondomar1
1/16-finals
Montijo0
Braga7
Torreense1
Amora0
Cova De Piedade2
Moreirense3
Vitoria Guimaraes0
Santa Clara1
Leiria0
Gil Vicente3
Academico Viseu3
Academica0
Nacional3
Leixoes1
FC Porto2
Tondela1
Maritimo2
SC Salgueiros1
Sporting CP3
Pacos Ferreira0
Rio Ave2
Famalicao1
Estoril2
Boavista1
Anadia0
Estrela da Amadora1
Benfica5
Vilafranquense0
GD Fontinhas1
AD Fafe2
BSAD3
SC Espinho0
1/8-finals
Braga5
Torreense0
Moreirense1
Santa Clara2
Gil Vicente3
Academico Viseu2
Nacional2
FC Porto4
Maritimo2
Sporting CP0
Rio Ave1
Estoril2
Estrela da Amadora0
Benfica4
AD Fafe2
BSAD3
Quarter-finals
Braga2
Santa Clara1
Gil Vicente0
FC Porto2
Maritimo1
Estoril3
Benfica3
BSAD0
Semi-finals
Braga4
FC Porto3
Estoril1
Benfica5
Final
Braga2
Benfica0