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Caravaca vs Mazarron CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Almansa S. G.
48' Event
Morete

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Caravaca
22%
Draws
18%
Mazarron CF
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Caravaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazarron CF lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
  • Model gives Caravaca a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 68%
Mazarron CF Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaca Mazarron CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 12 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Mazarron CF
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron CF vs Caravaca
1:1
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Mazarron CF
2:0
Dec 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron CF vs Caravaca
3:0
Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Mazarron CF
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Morete
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Mazarron CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Almansa S. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaca 68 / 100
Mazarron CF 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaca Mazarron CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Mazarron CF has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caravaca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravaca VS Mazarron CF
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaca

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

Mazarron CF

(Away)
24 May
Real Murcia B
2 : 0
Mazarron CF
16 May
Mazarron CF
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron CF
03 May
Mazarron CF
2 : 3
Aguilas FC B
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
3 : 3
Mazarron CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron CF 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)