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Caravaca vs Minerva

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

25' Event
Morete
55' Event
Morete
73' Event
Morete

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Caravaca and Minerva finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Caravaca
11%
Draws
9%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Caravaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Minerva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caravaca's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Caravaca have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 68%
Minerva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaca Minerva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Minerva
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Caravaca
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Minerva
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Caravaca
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Morete
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Minerva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaca 86 / 100
Minerva 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaca Minerva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaca's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Minerva conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Caravaca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravaca VS Minerva
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaca

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

Minerva

(Away)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0
Molinense
18 Apr
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Minerva
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0
Santomera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron CF 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)