Sport Picks
Caravaca vs Racing Murcia Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 
Match Events
12'
12'
Vives J.
15'
15'
Martinez D.
24'
24'
Martinez D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Caravaca and Racing Murcia finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Caravaca come out ahead of Racing Murcia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Caravaca's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Caravaca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caravaca | Racing Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 16 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Racing Murcia
5:1
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Caravaca
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Caravaca
0:2
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Racing Murcia
2:1
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Racing Murcia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caravaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Goudani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Racing Murcia Compare
Top Goalscorer Vives J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caravaca 85 / 100
Racing Murcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caravaca Racing Murcia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Racing Murcia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Caravaca scored in 67% of their last 42 games.
Racing Murcia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Caravaca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caravaca
(Home) 09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 9
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
04 Apr
Caravaca
3 : 0 Minerva
22 Mar
Caravaca
0 : 1 Aguilas FC B
15 Mar
Caravaca
0 : 2 UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 5
Racing Murcia
(Away) 11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1 Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3 Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4 Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1 Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1 Racing Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1 Racing Murcia
07 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
2 : 0 Racing Murcia
23 Mar
Plus Ultra
1 : 3 Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 53:19 | 78 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 44:24 | 68 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 42:24 | 62 |
| 5 | Caravaca | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:32 | 61 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 64:30 | 59 |
| 7 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 60:34 | 59 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 39:23 | 52 |
| 9 | Muleno CF | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 10 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 12 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | 36 |
| 13 | Bullense | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:65 | 36 |
| 14 | Balsicas Atletico | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:53 | 36 |
| 15 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:43 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Algar | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:65 | 29 |
| 18 | Montecasillas | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 31:90 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
