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Caravaca vs Real Murcia B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Meca A.
74' Event
Fimbres V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Caravaca and Real Murcia B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Caravaca
20%
Draws
30%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Murcia B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caravaca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 68%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaca Real Murcia B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Real Murcia B
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Caravaca
4:3
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Caravaca
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Real Murcia B
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Real Murcia B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Meca A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaca 95 / 100
Real Murcia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaca Real Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Caravaca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Murcia B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Caravaca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caravaca VS Real Murcia B
1.2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaca

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

Real Murcia B

(Away)
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)