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Caravaggio vs Blumenau Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mendes J.
56' Event
Rodrigo Milanez
61' Event
Wellisson

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Caravaggio and Blumenau finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Caravaggio
35%
Draws
10%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Blumenau haven't matched Caravaggio's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caravaggio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Blumenau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Caravaggio
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Blumenau
1:3
Jun 16, 2024 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Blumenau
3:1
Jun 26, 2022 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Caravaggio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Milanez
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wellisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 95 / 100
Blumenau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Caravaggio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Caravaggio scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Blumenau conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS Blumenau
2.71 Goals Scored 1.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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Blumenau

(Away)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)