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Caravaggio vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mendes J.
56' Event
Rodrigo Milanez
61' Event
Wellisson

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Caravaggio and Blumenau finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Caravaggio
6%
Draws
4%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Caravaggio haven't matched Blumenau's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caravaggio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Blumenau
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 14 20
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Caravaggio
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Blumenau
1:3
Jun 16, 2024 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Blumenau
3:1
Jun 26, 2022 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Caravaggio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Milanez
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wellisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 95 / 100
Blumenau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Caravaggio scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Blumenau let in goals in 67% of their last 39 matches.

Solid form: Caravaggio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS Blumenau
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

Blumenau

(Away)
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz17123233:939
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1795344:1932
4Blumenau1784532:1528
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1701166:701
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)