Sport Picks
Caravaggio vs Ciserano-Bergamo Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
10'
10'
Ferrari S.
(Penalty)
20'
20'
Reinero A.
69'
69'
Marin M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ciserano-Bergamo lately — more wins on the board than Caravaggio.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caravaggio | Ciserano-Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:3
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Caravaggio
2:0
Mar 20, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Caravaggio
1:0
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caravaggio Compare
Top Goalscorer Reinero A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ciserano-Bergamo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caravaggio 32 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caravaggio Ciserano-Bergamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaggio's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Ciserano-Bergamo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Caravaggio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ciserano-Bergamo
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caravaggio
(Home) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
06 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 2 Calvi Noale
23 Mar
Caravaggio
1 : 2 Treviso
Page 1 of 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
(Away) 27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Sondrio
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)
