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Caravaggio vs Tubarao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Caravaggio Logo

Caravaggio

2 - 1
FT
Tubarao Logo

Tubarao

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Nayssinho M. V.
64' Event
Luiz da Silva Paiva D.
90' Event
Kaio Almeida Batista H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caravaggio in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Caravaggio
20%
Draws
0%
Tubarao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Caravaggio have won more games recently than Tubarao.
  • Model gives Caravaggio a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Tubarao
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Tubarao
2:1
May 24, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Caravaggio
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Caravaggio vs Tubarao
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Caravaggio
1:2
Jul 14, 2024 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Caravaggio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz da Silva Paiva D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaio Almeida Batista H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Nayssinho M. V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 95 / 100
Tubarao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Tubarao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Caravaggio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Tubarao has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Caravaggio scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS Tubarao
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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Tubarao

(Away)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)