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Caravel vs Atl. Deportivo

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caravel in this Division di Honor matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Caravel
15%
Draws
36%
Atl. Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caravel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Atl. Deportivo haven't matched Caravel's recent run of results.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Caravel Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravel Atl. Deportivo
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.8 3.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Division di Honor
Atl. Deportivo vs Caravel
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Atl. Deportivo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravel 30 / 100
Atl. Deportivo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravel Atl. Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Deportivo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravel found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Atl. Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Atl. Deportivo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caravel VS Atl. Deportivo
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravel

(Home)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
24 May
FC San Nicolaas
2 : 2
Caravel
20 May
Caravel
4 : 1
Estudiantes
14 May
Real Koyari
1 : 0
Caravel
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Deportivo

(Away)
31 May
Estudiantes
3 : 2
Atl. Deportivo
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
18 May
Real Koyari
1 : 5
Atl. Deportivo
10 May
Atl. Deportivo
1 : 3
FC San Nicolaas
04 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 1
Caravel
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Nacional 10 10 0 0 56:11 30
2 Caravel 10 6 1 3 22:20 19
3 FC San Nicolaas 10 4 1 5 23:29 13
4 Atl. Deportivo 10 4 0 6 21:17 12
5 Estudiantes 10 3 0 7 20:33 9
6 Real Koyari 10 2 0 8 11:43 6
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caiquetio 10 5 5 0 18:6 20
2 River Plate 10 5 3 2 28:18 18
3 Estrella 10 5 2 3 23:23 17
4 Brazil Juniors 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
5 Jong Aruba 10 3 4 3 19:16 13
6 Unistars 10 0 0 10 7:33 0
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)