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Caravel vs Atl. Deportivo

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Division di Honor
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AI Match Summary

Caravel host Atl. Deportivo in the Division di Honor. This has Caravel written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Caravel at 2.38 goals for, 2.25 against; Atl. Deportivo at 2.38 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Caravel slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.94 - 2.31) back Caravel to edge this. Caravel in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Caravel
39%
Draws
30%
Atl. Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Caravel has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atl. Deportivo.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division di Honor provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Caravel Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravel Atl. Deportivo
Matches Played 34 20
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Division di Honor
Atl. Deportivo vs Caravel
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Atl. Deportivo
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravel 30 / 100
Atl. Deportivo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravel Atl. Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravel scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Atl. Deportivo let in goals in 95% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Caravel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Deportivo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravel VS Atl. Deportivo
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Nacional10100056:1130
2Caravel1061322:2019
3FC San Nicolaas1041523:2913
4Atl. Deportivo1040621:1712
5Estudiantes1030720:339
6Real Koyari1020811:436
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caiquetio1055018:620
2River Plate1053228:1818
3Estrella1052323:2317
4Brazil Juniors1034316:1513
5Jong Aruba1034319:1613
6Unistars1000107:330