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Caravel vs Deportivo Nacional Prediction & H2H Stats

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Division di Honor
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AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor game between Caravel and Deportivo Nacional finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Caravel
15%
Draws
67%
Deportivo Nacional
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Deportivo Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Nacional's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo Nacional have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Caravel Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravel Deportivo Nacional
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 0
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.91 3.22
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Deportivo Nacional
1:3
Apr 28, 2026 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Caravel
8:1
Sep 24, 2022 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Caravel
3:1
May 2, 2022 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Deportivo Nacional
0:11
Dec 18, 2021 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Caravel
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravel 10 / 100
Deportivo Nacional 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravel Deportivo Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravel found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 6.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Nacional conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Caravel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravel VS Deportivo Nacional
2.38 Goals Scored 6.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravel

(Home)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
24 May
FC San Nicolaas
2 : 2
Caravel
20 May
Caravel
4 : 1
Estudiantes
14 May
Real Koyari
1 : 0
Caravel
Page 1 of 7

Deportivo Nacional

(Away)
13 Jun
Deportivo Nacional
2 : 1
Caiquetio
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
17 May
Deportivo Nacional
4 : 2
FC San Nicolaas
12 May
Deportivo Nacional
10 : 1
Estudiantes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Nacional 10 10 0 0 56:11 30
2 Caravel 10 6 1 3 22:20 19
3 FC San Nicolaas 10 4 1 5 23:29 13
4 Atl. Deportivo 10 4 0 6 21:17 12
5 Estudiantes 10 3 0 7 20:33 9
6 Real Koyari 10 2 0 8 11:43 6
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caiquetio 10 5 5 0 18:6 20
2 River Plate 10 5 3 2 28:18 18
3 Estrella 10 5 2 3 23:23 17
4 Brazil Juniors 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
5 Jong Aruba 10 3 4 3 19:16 13
6 Unistars 10 0 0 10 7:33 0
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)