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Caravel vs Estrella

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. This leg finished 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caravel
20%
Draws
40%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caravel lately — more wins on the board than Estrella.
  • Caravel are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Caravel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Estrella, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Caravel Clean Sheet 10%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravel Estrella
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.91 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.72 2.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Estrella
1:6
Sep 10, 2022 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Estrella
1:2
Feb 12, 2022 Division di Honor
Estrella vs Caravel
1:1
Oct 23, 2021 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Estrella
3:3
Jun 20, 2021 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Estrella
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravel 34 / 100
Estrella 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravel Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravel's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Estrella let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Estrella lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravel VS Estrella
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravel

(Home)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
24 May
FC San Nicolaas
2 : 2
Caravel
20 May
Caravel
4 : 1
Estudiantes
14 May
Real Koyari
1 : 0
Caravel
Page 1 of 7

Estrella

(Away)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
02 Jun
Estrella
0 : 4
Jong Aruba
24 May
Estrella
1 : 5
River Plate
21 May
Estrella
1 : 2
Caiquetio
13 May
Brazil Juniors
2 : 2
Estrella
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Caravel 1
Estrella 6