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Caravel vs Estudiantes

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Division di Honor
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AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor game between Caravel and Estudiantes finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Caravel
15%
Draws
51%
Estudiantes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Caravel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Caravel taking it.
  • Regular Division di Honor form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Caravel here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Caravel Clean Sheet 15%
Estudiantes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravel Estudiantes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.91 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.72 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Estudiantes
4:1
Apr 16, 2026 Division di Honor
Estudiantes vs Caravel
1:4
Apr 22, 2008 Division di Honor
Estudiantes vs Caravel
4:2
Nov 9, 2007 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Estudiantes
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravel 41 / 100
Estudiantes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravel Estudiantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caravel scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Estudiantes let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Estudiantes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravel VS Estudiantes
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravel

(Home)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
24 May
FC San Nicolaas
2 : 2
Caravel
20 May
Caravel
4 : 1
Estudiantes
14 May
Real Koyari
1 : 0
Caravel
Page 1 of 7

Estudiantes

(Away)
31 May
Estudiantes
3 : 2
Atl. Deportivo
26 May
Estudiantes
10 : 0
Real Koyari
20 May
Caravel
4 : 1
Estudiantes
12 May
Deportivo Nacional
10 : 1
Estudiantes
06 May
Estudiantes
1 : 2
FC San Nicolaas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Nacional 10 10 0 0 56:11 30
2 Caravel 10 6 1 3 22:20 19
3 FC San Nicolaas 10 4 1 5 23:29 13
4 Atl. Deportivo 10 4 0 6 21:17 12
5 Estudiantes 10 3 0 7 20:33 9
6 Real Koyari 10 2 0 8 11:43 6
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caiquetio 10 5 5 0 18:6 20
2 River Plate 10 5 3 2 28:18 18
3 Estrella 10 5 2 3 23:23 17
4 Brazil Juniors 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
5 Jong Aruba 10 3 4 3 19:16 13
6 Unistars 10 0 0 10 7:33 0
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)