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Caravel vs Santa Fe

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor 2023/2024 game between Caravel and Santa Fe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Caravel
20%
Draws
57%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Caravel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division di Honor 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santa Fe have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Caravel Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravel Santa Fe
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.84 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2024 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Santa Fe
1:2
Feb 19, 2024 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs Caravel
6:2
Nov 19, 2022 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs Caravel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravel 30 / 100
Santa Fe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravel Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravel's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Santa Fe has conceded goals in 81% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Caravel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravel VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravel

(Home)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
24 May
FC San Nicolaas
2 : 2
Caravel
20 May
Caravel
4 : 1
Estudiantes
14 May
Real Koyari
1 : 0
Caravel
Page 1 of 7

Santa Fe

(Away)
15 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Bubali
05 May
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Jong Aruba
29 Apr
La Fama
8 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Apr
Santa Fe
5 : 0
Real Koyari
15 Apr
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United FC 10 8 0 2 37:15 24
2 Unistars 10 8 0 2 35:14 24
3 Bubali 10 6 0 4 22:7 18
4 Caiquetio 10 5 0 5 20:19 15
5 CDRA 10 3 0 7 14:22 9
6 Atl. Deportivo 10 0 0 10 6:57 0
Relegation - Division di Honor 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Fama 10 10 0 0 65:6 30
2 Santa Fe 10 6 1 3 29:19 19
3 Jong Aruba 10 5 1 4 18:23 16
4 Caravel 10 3 0 7 14:32 9
5 Sport Boys 10 2 1 7 14:32 7
6 Real Koyari 10 2 1 7 8:36 7
Relegation - Division di Honor 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)