Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardassar vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Sastre S. T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Cardassar and Constancia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cardassar
30%
Draws
23%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Constancia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cardassar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%
Constancia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Constancia
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Constancia
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Constancia
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Cardassar
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Constancia
2:0
Jan 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Cardassar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sastre S. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Constancia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 50 / 100
Constancia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardassar found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Cardassar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Constancia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Constancia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
Page 1 of 6

Constancia

(Away)
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 SD Ibiza 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
3 PE Sant Jordi 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
4 Cardassar 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Alcudia 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
6 Porreres 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Formentera 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
8 Santanyi 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
9 Constancia 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
10 Mercadal 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
11 Llosetense 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
12 Andratx 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 Platges de Calvia 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Arenal 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Sineu 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
16 Binissalem 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
17 Migjorn 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
18 Inter Ibiza 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)