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Cardassar vs Esporles

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Cardassar and Esporles finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Cardassar
20%
Draws
7%
Esporles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardassar come out ahead of Esporles on wins alone.
  • Cardassar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%
Esporles Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Esporles
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 1.23 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Cardassar
0:2
May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Esporles
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 95 / 100
Esporles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Esporles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Cardassar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Cardassar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
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Esporles

(Away)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
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