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Cardassar vs Manacor

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tortosa Moreno R.
28' Event
Ballester L.
56' Event
Alvarez Crego A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Cardassar and Manacor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cardassar
30%
Draws
33%
Manacor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manacor come out ahead of Cardassar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cardassar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%
Manacor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Manacor
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Manacor
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Cardassar
4:0
Jan 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Cardassar
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Manacor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tortosa Moreno R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez Crego A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballester L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 50 / 100
Manacor 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Manacor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardassar scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Manacor conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Cardassar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Manacor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
18 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1
Cardassar
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Manacor

(Away)
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)