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Cardassar vs Rotlet Molinar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Ojeda I.
69'
Chakroun R.
69'
Chakroun R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Cardassar and Rotlet Molinar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cardassar
20%
Draws
23%
Rotlet Molinar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardassar come out ahead of Rotlet Molinar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cardassar a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Rotlet Molinar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Rotlet Molinar
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Cardassar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojeda I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 95 / 100
Rotlet Molinar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Rotlet Molinar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotlet Molinar has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Cardassar's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Cardassar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Rotlet Molinar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 7

Rotlet Molinar

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)