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Cardiff City W vs Caernarfon Town W

Wales Wales

Premier Women 2017/2018
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AI Match Summary

Cardiff City W play Caernarfon Town W in the Premier Women 2017/2018. Cardiff City W are favorites here. Recently, Cardiff City W averaged 3 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Caernarfon Town W averaged 0.5 goals scored and 5.11 conceded. In past meetings, Cardiff City W won 2, Caernarfon Town W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2018 ended 1:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.54 for Cardiff City W and 0.94 for Caernarfon Town W. This points to a Cardiff City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Cardiff City W
15%
Draws
10%
Caernarfon Town W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff City W picked up more points recently compared to Caernarfon Town W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.54 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 24%
Caernarfon Town W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff City W Caernarfon Town W
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 19 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 3 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 5.11

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Premier Women
Caernarfon Town W vs Cardiff City W
1:8
Sep 3, 2017 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Caernarfon Town W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff City W 72 / 100
Caernarfon Town W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff City W Caernarfon Town W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff City W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cardiff City W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.49
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.1%
1.19
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cardiff City W attacking → ← attacking Caernarfon Town W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff City W scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Caernarfon Town W let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Cardiff City W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Caernarfon Town W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 3
3.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cardiff Met. Ladies W18152162:1247
2Swansea W18133264:1242
3Abergavenny Town W18122461:2538
4Cyncoed W18121542:2037
5Cardiff City W1883747:3227
6Port Talbot W1881939:4025
7Llandudno FC W18611129:4319
8Rhyl W18421226:6214
9Caernarfon Town W1810179:923
10Caldicot W18311423:641