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Cardiff City W vs Swansea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cardiff City W host Swansea W in the Adran Premier Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Cardiff City W at 3.35 goals for, 1.32 against; Swansea W at 2.73 for, 1.7 against. Past meetings favor Cardiff City W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.94) point toward Cardiff City W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Cardiff City W
15%
Draws
24%
Swansea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cardiff City W lately — more wins on the board than Swansea W.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff City W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cardiff City W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff City W Swansea W
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 24 22
Draws 4 0
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 3.35 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff City W 83 / 100
Swansea W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff City W Swansea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff City W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff City W's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cardiff City W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Swansea W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff City W VS Swansea W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff City W

(Home)
18 Oct
Cardiff City W
1 : 0
TNS W
11 Oct
Aberystwyth W
0 : 10
Cardiff City W
04 Oct
Cardiff City W
7 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Cardiff City W
3 : 2
Briton Ferry W
Page 1 of 7

Swansea W

(Away)
18 Oct
Swansea W
0 : 3
Briton Ferry W
11 Oct
Swansea W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
04 Oct
Barry Town W
0 : 4
Swansea W
27 Sept
TNS W
4 : 3
Swansea W
20 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wrexham W 7 6 0 1 40:7 18
2 TNS W 7 6 0 1 28:8 18
3 Cardiff City W 7 5 0 2 28:11 15
4 Swansea W 7 4 0 3 15:17 12
5 Briton Ferry W 7 3 1 3 19:17 10
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 7 1 2 4 7:23 5
7 Barry Town W 7 0 2 5 7:32 2
8 Aberystwyth W 7 0 1 6 4:33 1
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)