Sport Picks
Cardiff Corries vs Cwmaman Institute
Wales
FA Cup 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
Cardiff Corries in this FA Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cwmaman Institute
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Cardiff Corries have won more games recently than Cwmaman Institute.
- Cardiff Corries are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Cardiff Corries have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cardiff Corries, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Cardiff Corries have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 10%
Cwmaman Institute Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff Corries | Cwmaman Institute |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.30 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2012 Division 1
Cardiff Corries vs Cwmaman Institute
5:1
Nov 12, 2011 Division 1
Cwmaman Institute vs Cardiff Corries
1:1
Oct 1, 2011 FAW Welsh Cup
Cardiff Corries vs Cwmaman Institute
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff Corries 65 / 100
Cwmaman Institute 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Corries Cwmaman Institute
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cardiff Corries Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cwmaman Institute let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
Cardiff Corries found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Cwmaman Institute's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff Corries VS Cwmaman Institute
2 Goals Scored 1.2
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 40%
75% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff Corries
(Home) 30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0 Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4 Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1 Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Cardiff Corries
Page 1 of 7
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4 Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1 Risca United
08 Oct
Cardiff Corries
1 : 8 Newtown
07 Oct
Cardiff Corries
0 : 4 Penydarren
21 Apr
Cardiff Corries
4 : 3 Goytre Utd
Page 1 of 4
Cwmaman Institute
(Away) 16 Sept
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1 Cwmaman Institute
19 Oct
Cwmaman Institute
2 : 6 STM Sports
28 Apr
Cwmaman Institute
2 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
24 Apr
AFC Porth
2 : 0 Cwmaman Institute
20 Apr
Taffs Well
0 : 1 Cwmaman Institute
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1 Cwmaman Institute
24 Apr
AFC Porth
2 : 0 Cwmaman Institute
20 Apr
Taffs Well
0 : 1 Cwmaman Institute
06 Apr
Bridgend Town
3 : 0 Cwmaman Institute
24 Mar
Pontardawe
1 : 1 Cwmaman Institute
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cefn Druids 6
Caernarfon 1
Carno FC 0
Coedpoeth 2
Llanidloes Town -
TBD -
Gwalchmai 2
Connahs Q. 7
Goytre Utd 1
Ton Pentre 0
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Caerau Ely 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Llandudno FC 3
Venture Community 1
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Guilsfield 1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 4
Ruthin Town 1
Conwy Borough 1
Caersws FC 2
FC Cefn 2
Penycae FC 1
Connahs Quay Town 0
Montgomery 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 3
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Splott 0
Bridgend Town 2
Cambrian United 5
Monmouth 1
Llanrug 3
Llandrindod 4
Pontardawe 3
Treowen 0
Aberbargoed Buds 0
AFC Porth 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerleon 1
Aberaman 0
Rhosgoch 2
Merthyr Saints 6
Taffs Well 5
Undy 4
Dinas Powys 0
Builth 2
Holyhead 6
Llanrhaeadr 1
Penrhyncoch 0
Buckley 4
Rhyl 5
Gresford 0
Bethesda Athletic 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Neath Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Corries 2
Cwmaman Institute 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
West End 2
Newport Civil Service 4
Caldicot 2
Risca United 0
Newbridge 4
Denbigh 3
Llangefni 2
Chirk AAA FC 1
Flint Town 5
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Merthyr Town 0
Barry Town 3
Bryntirion Athletic 3
Cwmbran Town 1
Aberaeron 1
Goytre AFC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
1/32-finals
Cefn Druids 8
Coedpoeth 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Connahs Q. 2
Goytre Utd 8
Caerau Ely 1
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Llandudno FC 3
Guilsfield 1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 0
Caersws FC 3
FC Cefn 7
Montgomery 3
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Tata Steel 3
Bridgend Town 5
Cambrian United 2
Llandrindod 0
Pontardawe 0
AFC Porth 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Bala -
TBD -
Caerleon 3
Merthyr Saints 4
Taffs Well 5
Builth 0
Holyhead 2
Buckley 5
Rhyl 3
Porthmadog 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Neath Athletic -
TBD -
Cardiff Corries 1
West End 2
Newport Civil Service 2
Newbridge 0
Denbigh 1
Flint Town 2
Newport -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 1
Barry Town 2
Bryntirion Athletic 5
Goytre AFC 2
TBD -
TNS -
1/16-finals
Cefn Druids 2
Connahs Q. 1
Goytre Utd 2
Prestatyn 6
Llandudno FC 1
Caersws FC 0
FC Cefn 1
Aberystwyth 6
Carmarthen Town 2
Bridgend Town 1
Cambrian United 0
AFC Porth 1
Afan Lido 1
Port Talbot 0
Wrexham 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Bala 6
Merthyr Saints 0
Taffs Well 3
Buckley 4
Rhyl 2
Newtown 1
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 4
Neath Athletic 4
West End 0
Newport Civil Service 0
Flint Town 3
Newport 3
Barry Town 2
Bryntirion Athletic 0
TNS 6
1/8-finals
Cefn Druids 2
Prestatyn 0
Llandudno FC 1
Aberystwyth 2
Carmarthen Town 3
AFC Porth 1
Afan Lido 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bala 4
Buckley 2
Rhyl 3
Llanelli 4
Neath Athletic 3
Flint Town 1
Newport 0
TNS 4
Quarter-finals
Cefn Druids 1
Aberystwyth 0
Carmarthen Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bala 2
Llanelli 1
Neath Athletic 0
TNS 1
Semi-finals
Cefn Druids 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Bala 0
TNS 4
Final
Cefn Druids 0
TNS 2
