Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Cardiff Corries in this FA Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cardiff Corries have won more games recently than Ely Rangers.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Ely Rangers taking it.
- Cardiff Corries have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cardiff Corries, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 10%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff Corries | Ely Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 13 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.56 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.20 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2008 FAW Welsh Cup
Cardiff Corries vs Ely Rangers
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff Corries 14 / 100
Ely Rangers 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Corries Ely Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ely Rangers has conceded goals in 100% of their last 13 outings.
Cardiff Corries's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: Ely Rangers registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff Corries VS Ely Rangers
2 Goals Scored 2.6
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff Corries
(Home) 30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0 Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4 Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1 Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Cardiff Corries
Page 1 of 7
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4 Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1 Risca United
08 Oct
Cardiff Corries
1 : 8 Newtown
07 Oct
Cardiff Corries
0 : 4 Penydarren
21 Apr
Cardiff Corries
4 : 3 Goytre Utd
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Ely Rangers
(Away) 21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2 Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1 Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1 Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1 Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
Page 1 of 3
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2 Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1 Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1 Ely Rangers
11 Sept
Fleur de Lys
1 : 0 Ely Rangers
31 Oct
Aberaman
2 : 0 Ely Rangers
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Cwmamman United 0
Afan Lido 3
Newport Civil Service 5
Grange Harlequins 1
TBD -
Caersws FC -
Flint Town 4
Rhos Aelwyd 3
Brymbo 0
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanwern FC 3
Ton Pentre 0
Porthcawl Town 0
Llwydcoed 3
Goytre Utd 4
Caerleon 1
Bettws FC 1
Taffs Well 2
Bryntirion Athletic 9
Treharris Athletic 1
Ely Rangers 0
Cardiff Corries 3
Gresford 1
Tredegar Town 0
Cefn United 0
Rhydymwyn 3
Bala 6
Glantraeth FC 1
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
Barry Town 1
Aberaman 2
Chirk AAA FC 3
Nantlle Vale FC 0
Llanllyfni FC 1
Denbigh 4
Tywyn Bryncrug 4
Bethesda Athletic 1
Berriew FC 0
Llangollen 1
Neath Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
TNS -
TBD -
Ruthin Town 0
Guilsfield 2
Maesteg Park 3
Croesyceiliog FC 0
Conwy Borough 2
Penrhyncoch 3
Pwllheli 2
Llanrug 0
Penparcau FC 2
Llandudno Junction 4
Bow Street 3
Llanberis FC 2
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bridgend Town 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Cwmbran Town 3
Llanfairpwll FC 2
Hawarden Rangers 0
Llandudno FC 1
Llangefni 3
Porthmadog -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Glan Conwy FC 2
Llanrwst United 1
Venture Community 1
Lex Glyndwr XI 2
Holyhead 4
Mynydd Isa 3
Amlwch Town 1
Llay Welfare 8
Ammanford Town 1
Caldicot 0
Caerau Ely 1
Pentwyn Dynamo 2
Briton Ferry 3
AFC Porth 1
Llangeinor 0
Dinas Powys 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Garw SBGC 1
Cwmaman Institute 2
Newport YMCA 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Welshpool -
Brickfield Rangers 4
Nefyn United 3
Penycae FC 3
Buckley 6
Newtown -
TBD -
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Cambrian United 4
Halkyn United 4
Coedpoeth 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Rhyl -
TBD -
Llandyrnog United 0
Castell Alun Colts 1
Pontypridd United 4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Garden Village 3
West End 2
Pontardawe 0
Risca United 2
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Afan Lido 2
Newport Civil Service 0
Caersws FC 1
Flint Town 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Llanwern FC 1
Llwydcoed 6
Goytre Utd 2
Taffs Well 0
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Cardiff Corries 2
Gresford 4
Rhydymwyn 1
Bala 3
Prestatyn 4
Port Talbot 1
Aberaman 0
Chirk AAA FC 1
Denbigh 4
Tywyn Bryncrug 2
Llangollen 1
Neath Athletic 0
Llanelli 4
TNS 4
Guilsfield 2
Maesteg Park 2
Penrhyncoch 3
Pwllheli 2
Llandudno Junction 0
Bow Street 1
Carmarthen Town 6
Bridgend Town 3
Cwmbran Town 1
Llanfairpwll FC 0
Llangefni 3
Porthmadog 5
Caernarfon 3
Glan Conwy FC 1
Lex Glyndwr XI 2
Holyhead 2
Llay Welfare 1
Ammanford Town 0
Pentwyn Dynamo 1
Briton Ferry 1
Dinas Powys 0
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Newport YMCA 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Welshpool 1
Brickfield Rangers 3
Buckley 4
Newtown 1
Cambrian United 0
Halkyn United 2
Cefn Druids 4
Rhyl 8
Castell Alun Colts 0
Pontypridd United 1
Haverfordwest 4
Garden Village 2
Risca United 0
Connahs Q. 0
Bangor City 1
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Caersws FC 0
Flint Town 0
Llwydcoed 1
Goytre Utd 6
Cardiff Corries 0
Gresford 2
Prestatyn 3
Port Talbot 7
Denbigh 0
Tywyn Bryncrug 0
Llanelli 3
TNS 7
Penrhyncoch 1
Pwllheli 0
Carmarthen Town 6
Bridgend Town 1
Llangefni 0
Porthmadog 0
Lex Glyndwr XI 2
Holyhead 2
Pentwyn Dynamo 1
Briton Ferry 0
Newport YMCA 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Buckley 1
Newtown 0
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 4
Haverfordwest 0
Garden Village 0
Bangor City 4
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Llwydcoed 0
Goytre Utd 3
Prestatyn 5
Port Talbot 2
Llanelli 1
TNS 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Bridgend Town 4
Lex Glyndwr XI 0
Holyhead 1
Newport YMCA 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 1
Bangor City 2
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Port Talbot 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Bridgend Town 1
Newport YMCA 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Bangor City 5
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Bridgend Town 1
Bangor City 2
Final
Aberystwyth 0
Bangor City 2
