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Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

Cymru South

Aberystwyth

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cardiff Draconians host Aberystwyth in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Cardiff Draconians have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Aberystwyth's 1.72 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Cardiff Draconians have won 1 to Aberystwyth's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.38, favoring Aberystwyth. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Cardiff Draconians

30%

Draws

39%

Aberystwyth

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aberystwyth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Aberystwyth come out ahead of Cardiff Draconians on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%

Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cardiff Draconians	Aberystwyth
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	15
Draws	5	4
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	1.66	1.72
Goals Conceded	1.86	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Cymru South

Aberystwyth vs Cardiff Draconians

3:2

Sep 6, 2025 Cymru South

Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Draconians 30 / 100

Aberystwyth 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cardiff Draconians Aberystwyth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Cardiff Draconians scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Aberystwyth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cardiff Draconians stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Draconians VS Aberystwyth

1.88 Goals Scored 2.63

2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History