Sport Picks
Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
13'
13'
Thomas L.
16'
16'
Amin D.
31'
31'
Reed L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardiff Draconians
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Carmarthen Town have won more games recently than Cardiff Draconians.
- Win probability leans Cardiff Draconians's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Carmarthen Town have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town
2:3
Aug 9, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Draconians
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Draconians Compare
Top Goalscorer Cawley S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff Draconians 38 / 100
Carmarthen Town 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Draconians Carmarthen Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cardiff Draconians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmarthen Town has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Cardiff Draconians's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Cardiff Draconians went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff Draconians VS Carmarthen Town
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff Draconians
(Home) 03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1 Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1 Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 4
Carmarthen Town
(Away) 02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
08 Aug
Newport City
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
28 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 7 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 11 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
