Sport Picks
Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Cardiff Draconians host Newport City in the Cymru South 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Cardiff Draconians have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Newport City's 1.25 scored and 2.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Newport City slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.81, favoring Cardiff Draconians. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cardiff Draconians has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newport City.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Cardiff Draconians.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Cymru South 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Draconians Compare
Newport City Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cardiff Draconians scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Newport City let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Cardiff Draconians went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Newport City lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |