Sport Picks
Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd United Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Marsh T.
58'
58'
Samson H.
61'
61'
Phipps E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontypridd United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Pontypridd United have won more games recently than Cardiff Draconians.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd United
1:4
Apr 11, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd United
2:2
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Cardiff Draconians
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Draconians Compare
Top Goalscorer Samson H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kazadi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Pontypridd United Compare
Top Goalscorer Marsh T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Phipps E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff Draconians 30 / 100
Pontypridd United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Draconians Pontypridd United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Cardiff Draconians scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Pontypridd United conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Cardiff Draconians has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff Draconians VS Pontypridd United
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff Draconians
(Home) 26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 3
Pontypridd United
(Away) 25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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