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Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd United

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cardiff Draconians host Pontypridd United in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Cardiff Draconians have averaged 1.84 scored and 1.65 conceded recently, against Pontypridd United's 1.76 scored and 1.69 conceded. Head-to-head, Cardiff Draconians have won 1 to Pontypridd United's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (2.13 - 1.94) back Cardiff Draconians to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cardiff Draconians
35%
Draws
42%
Pontypridd United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pontypridd United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cardiff Draconians lately — more wins on the board than Pontypridd United.
  • Model gives Cardiff Draconians a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Draconians Pontypridd United
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.84 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd United
2:2
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Cardiff Draconians
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Draconians 34 / 100
Pontypridd United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Draconians Pontypridd United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Cardiff Draconians scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Pontypridd United let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Cardiff Draconians went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Draconians VS Pontypridd United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Draconians

(Home)
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1
Afan Lido
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Pontypridd United
04 Apr
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 4
Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 7

Pontypridd United

(Away)
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2
Pontardawe
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3
Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Pontypridd United
0 : 0
Caerau Ely
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Pontypridd United
04 Apr
Carmarthen Town
0 : 1
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Carmarthen Town 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
3 Pontypridd United 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
4 Ynyshir Albions 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Afan Lido 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
6 Aberystwyth 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
7 Pontardawe 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
8 Newport City 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
9 Treowen 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Caerau Ely 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
12 Cardiff Draconians 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Llanelli 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Caerphilly 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
15 Baglan Dragons 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Llantwit Major 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)