Sport Picks
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Caernarfon Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru Premier Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff 
Match Events
13'
13'
Payne J.
14'
14'
Mendes P.
19'
19'
Mwandwe L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caernarfon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Caernarfon have won more games recently than Cardiff Metropolitan University.
- Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 10%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff Metropolitan University | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Caernarfon
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Caernarfon
2:4
Sep 28, 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Caernarfon
2:2
May 11, 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare
Top Goalscorer Payne J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Caernarfon Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Clarke Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff Metropolitan University 10 / 100
Caernarfon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Metropolitan University Caernarfon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Cardiff Metropolitan University found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Caernarfon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Cardiff Metropolitan University stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff Metropolitan University VS Caernarfon
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff Metropolitan University
(Home) 26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0 Briton Ferry
21 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5 TNS
01 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
6 : 1 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 3
Caernarfon
(Away) 26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1 Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Flint Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1 Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 8 | Llandudno FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford Town | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12:36 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
