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Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Penybont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cardiff Metropolitan University host Penybont in the Cymru Premier. This one's hard to separate. Penybont have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Cardiff Metropolitan University have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Cardiff Metropolitan University have won 1 to Penybont's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 13, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.31) point toward Cardiff Metropolitan University. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15%
Draws
54%
Penybont
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Penybont have won more games recently than Cardiff Metropolitan University.
  • Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 18%
Penybont Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Metropolitan University Penybont
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Penybont
0:4
Mar 14, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
0:0
Jan 24, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Penybont
2:1
Dec 31, 2024 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Metropolitan University 15 / 100
Penybont 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Metropolitan University Penybont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Metropolitan University's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Penybont conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Cardiff Metropolitan University has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Metropolitan University VS Penybont
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Metropolitan University

(Home)
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3
Trefelin
03 Oct
Llandudno FC
0 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6

Penybont

(Away)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)