Sport Picks
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Trefelin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff 
Match Events
8'
8'
Ware L.
(Penalty)
31'
31'
Jones J.
50'
50'
Sub
Brock T. In: Piper R.
Out: Brock T.
AI Match Summary
Trefelin in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cardiff Metropolitan University haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Cardiff Metropolitan University's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 20%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff Metropolitan University | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Trefelin
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare
Top Goalscorer Hooper J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Trefelin Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piper R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff Metropolitan University 76 / 100
Trefelin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Metropolitan University Trefelin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cardiff Metropolitan University Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Cardiff Metropolitan University scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Trefelin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Cardiff Metropolitan University remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff Metropolitan University VS Trefelin
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff Metropolitan University
(Home) 09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3 Trefelin
03 Oct
Llandudno FC
0 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3 Trefelin
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 3
Trefelin
(Away) 09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3 Trefelin
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0 Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3 Trefelin
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0 Trefelin
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford Town | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:32 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:31 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
