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Cardiff U21 vs Bournemouth U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sykes J.
48' Event
Day J.
Assist: Christie Z.
59' Event
Tankiewicz R.
Assist: Mafico D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cardiff U21
30%
Draws
47%
Bournemouth U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bournemouth U21 have won more games recently than Cardiff U21.
  • Bournemouth U21 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Bournemouth U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bournemouth U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U21 Bournemouth U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 Premier League Cup
Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff U21
3:2
Aug 14, 2026 Premier League Cup
Cardiff U21 vs Bournemouth U21
4:1
Feb 2, 2026 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff U21
2:2
Oct 28, 2025 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Bournemouth U21
1:2
Mar 11, 2025 Professional Development League
Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perrett T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sykes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Day J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U21 14 / 100
Bournemouth U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U21 Bournemouth U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Cardiff U21 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Bournemouth U21 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Cardiff U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U21 VS Bournemouth U21
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U21

(Home)
02 Nov
Bournemouth U21
3 : 2
Cardiff U21
27 Oct
Cardiff U21
2 : 2
Coventry U21
23 Oct
Charlton U21
3 : 4
Cardiff U21
13 Oct
QPR U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
09 Oct
Cardiff U21
1 : 3
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth U21

(Away)
02 Nov
Bournemouth U21
3 : 2
Cardiff U21
26 Oct
Bournemouth U21
3 : 4
Brentford U21
18 Oct
Brighton U21
3 : 3
Bournemouth U21
12 Oct
Bournemouth U21
6 : 1
Plymouth U21
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 4 2 1 1 11:4 7
2 Blackburn U21 4 2 1 1 9:10 7
3 QPR U21 4 2 0 2 11:10 6
4 Bolton U21 4 0 2 2 5:12 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
2 Leicester U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Cardiff U21 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
4 Plymouth U21 3 0 0 3 4:12 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 4 2 2 0 11:6 8
2 Swansea U21 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Birmingham U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
4 Gillingham U21 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Peterborough U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Luton U21 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Preston U21 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
3 Burnley U21 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Fleetwood Town U21 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Sheffield Utd U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Millwall U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 West Ham U21 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
2 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Exeter U21 3 2 0 1 10:9 6
4 Reading U21 4 0 0 4 6:13 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry U21 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
2 West Brom U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Ipswich U21 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
4 Bromley U21 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
2 Leeds U21 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 Stockport U21 4 1 0 3 8:11 3
4 Stoke City U21 4 0 3 1 4:8 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Hull City U21 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
3 Wycombe U21 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
4 Derby U21 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams