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Cardiff U21 vs Burnley U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Veevers C.
Assist: Ashton J.
74' Event
Barton M.
Assist: Apter M.
86' Event
Ryan K.
Assist: McMahon-Brown K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Burnley U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cardiff U21
39%
Draws
31%
Burnley U21
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff U21 have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Burnley U21 are scoring more at 1.71.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Burnley U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burnley U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U21 Burnley U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Premier League Cup
Burnley U21 vs Cardiff U21
3:1
Sep 23, 2025 Premier League Cup
Cardiff U21 vs Burnley U21
1:2
May 6, 2025 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Burnley U21
1:4
Aug 26, 2023 Professional Development League
Burnley U21 vs Cardiff U21
2:2
Aug 30, 2022 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Burnley U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barton M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Burnley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Veevers C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ryan K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U21 30 / 100
Burnley U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U21 Burnley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cardiff U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Burnley U21 conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Cardiff U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U21 VS Burnley U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U21

(Home)
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0
Cardiff U21
18 Jul
Yeovil
1 : 0
Cardiff U21
14 Jul
Bath City
0 : 2
Cardiff U21
11 Jul
Cardiff U21
1 : 1
Poole Town
20 Apr
Cardiff U21
1 : 2
Hull City U21
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U21

(Away)
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
13 Apr
Burnley U21
2 : 1
West Brom U21
12 Apr
Burnley U21
0 : 2
Blackburn U21
23 Mar
Ipswich U21
0 : 0
Burnley U21
16 Mar
Burnley U21
0 : 2
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Reading U21650110:315
2Bournemouth U21632115:1011
3Hull City U21620412:126
4Birmingham U2160245:172
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheffield Utd U21660014:718
2Stoke City U21613210:126
3Derby U21612315:125
4Bristol City U21611410:184
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipswich U21641112:413
2Charlton U2163129:1410
3Leicester U21620411:96
4Preston U2161236:115
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watford U21631212:1010
2Blackburn U21622210:88
3Leyton Orient U21622211:128
4Coventry U2161327:106
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Brom U21641113:1013
2Brentford U21640216:512
3Exeter U2162134:77
4Luton U2161058:193
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley U21640211:1012
2QPR U21631211:910
3Cardiff U21621315:127
4Stockport U21620411:176
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nottingham U21651010:316
2Swansea U21631214:910
3Wolves U2162139:117
4Millwall U2160157:171
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester U21631215:1210
2Sunderland U21631213:1010
3Bromley U2163037:119
4Norwich U21612310:125
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)