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Cardiff U21 vs Charlton U21

England England

Professional Development League 2025/2026
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Match Events

56' Event
Barton M.

AI Match Summary

Cardiff U21 in this Professional Development League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cardiff U21
35%
Draws
29%
Charlton U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Charlton U21 haven't matched Cardiff U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cardiff U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cardiff U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Charlton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U21 Charlton U21
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.65 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Charlton U21
1:0
Nov 25, 2025 Professional Development League
Charlton U21 vs Cardiff U21
0:3
Jan 24, 2025 Professional Development League
Charlton U21 vs Cardiff U21
6:1
Oct 5, 2024 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Charlton U21
2:0
Feb 20, 2024 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Charlton U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barton M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Charlton U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U21 84 / 100
Charlton U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U21 Charlton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Charlton U21 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Cardiff U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cardiff U21 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U21 VS Charlton U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Cardiff U21
6 : 0
Peterborough U21
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
07 Sept
Plymouth U21
2 : 3
Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Cardiff U21
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed U21
25 Aug
Wigan U21
2 : 5
Cardiff U21
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Charlton U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Sheffield Wed U21
2 : 2
Charlton U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
01 Sept
Charlton U21
2 : 2
Wigan U21
26 Aug
Stockport U21
1 : 2
Charlton U21
23 Aug
Barnsley U21
2 : 2
Charlton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 28 18 4 6 67:34 58
2 Sheffield Utd U21 28 15 7 6 58:39 52
3 Bournemouth U21 28 16 2 10 67:47 50
4 Swansea U21 28 14 6 8 69:50 48
5 Peterborough U21 28 14 6 8 66:52 48
6 Huddersfield U21 28 14 6 8 59:50 48
7 Watford U21 28 12 9 7 69:53 45
8 Charlton U21 28 11 7 10 58:49 40
9 Cardiff U21 28 11 7 10 48:39 40
10 Wigan U21 28 11 5 12 67:58 38
11 Hull City U21 28 10 7 11 49:53 37
12 Barnsley U21 28 10 7 11 51:58 37
13 Millwall U21 28 11 3 14 48:52 36
14 Bristol City U21 28 10 5 13 45:54 35
15 Coventry U21 28 11 2 15 46:63 35
16 QPR U21 28 8 9 11 51:61 33
17 Sheffield Wed U21 28 8 6 14 49:63 30
18 Colchester U21 28 6 6 16 40:77 24
19 Fleetwood Town U21 28 5 8 15 36:63 23
20 Crewe U21 28 5 8 15 41:69 23
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)