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Cardiff U21 vs Leicester U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Davies J.
24' Event
Hutchinson L.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Corden J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cardiff U21
30%
Draws
31%
Leicester U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardiff U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leicester U21's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Cardiff U21 have produced (1.64).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Leicester U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Leicester U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U21 Leicester U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League Cup
Cardiff U21 vs Leicester U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Leicester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Corden J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U21 31 / 100
Leicester U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U21 Leicester U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cardiff U21 scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Cardiff U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U21 VS Leicester U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U21

(Home)
06 Nov
Millwall U21
3 : 0
Cardiff U21
02 Nov
Bournemouth U21
3 : 2
Cardiff U21
27 Oct
Cardiff U21
2 : 2
Coventry U21
23 Oct
Charlton U21
3 : 4
Cardiff U21
13 Oct
QPR U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 6

Leicester U21

(Away)
06 Nov
Nottingham U21
2 : 2
Leicester U21
03 Nov
Boston United
1 : 0
Leicester U21
30 Oct
Leicester U21
1 : 2
Sporting CP B
24 Oct
Leicester U21
4 : 1
Arsenal U21
18 Oct
Tottenham U21
2 : 0
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 4 2 1 1 11:4 7
2 Blackburn U21 4 2 1 1 9:10 7
3 QPR U21 4 2 0 2 11:10 6
4 Bolton U21 4 0 2 2 5:12 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
2 Leicester U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Cardiff U21 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
4 Plymouth U21 3 0 0 3 4:12 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 4 2 2 0 11:6 8
2 Swansea U21 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Birmingham U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
4 Gillingham U21 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Peterborough U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Luton U21 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Preston U21 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
3 Burnley U21 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Fleetwood Town U21 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Sheffield Utd U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Millwall U21 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 West Ham U21 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
2 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Exeter U21 3 2 0 1 10:9 6
4 Reading U21 4 0 0 4 6:13 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry U21 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
2 Bromley U21 4 2 0 2 9:8 6
3 Ipswich U21 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
4 West Brom U21 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
2 Leeds U21 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 Stockport U21 4 1 0 3 8:11 3
4 Stoke City U21 4 0 3 1 4:8 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Hull City U21 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
3 Wycombe U21 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
4 Derby U21 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams