Sport Picks
Cardiff U21 vs Watford U21
England
Professional Development League 2025/2026 
Match Events
34'
34'
Okosun N.
50'
50'
Okosun N.
62'
62'
George T.
AI Match Summary
The Professional Development League 2025/2026 game between Cardiff U21 and Watford U21 finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Watford U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Watford U21 come out ahead of Cardiff U21 on wins alone.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff U21 taking it.
- Regular Professional Development League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Watford U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 2.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2026 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Watford U21
2:5
Sep 19, 2025 Professional Development League
Watford U21 vs Cardiff U21
0:2
May 2, 2025 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs Watford U21
3:1
Apr 25, 2025 Professional Development League
Watford U21 vs Cardiff U21
2:1
Dec 19, 2024 Premier League Cup
Cardiff U21 vs Watford U21
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer George T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ola D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Watford U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Okosun N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Moulton R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff U21 39 / 100
Watford U21 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff U21 Watford U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cardiff U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Watford U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Cardiff U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Cardiff U21 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff U21 VS Watford U21
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff U21
(Home) 18 Sept
Cardiff U21
6 : 0 Peterborough U21
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1 Cardiff U21
07 Sept
Plymouth U21
2 : 3 Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Cardiff U21
0 : 0 Sheffield Wed U21
25 Aug
Wigan U21
2 : 5 Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Cardiff U21
6 : 0 Peterborough U21
01 Sept
Cardiff U21
0 : 0 Sheffield Wed U21
18 Aug
Cardiff U21
1 : 2 Barnsley U21
14 Aug
Cardiff U21
4 : 1 Bournemouth U21
08 Aug
Cardiff U21
0 : 4 Fulham U21
Page 1 of 3
Watford U21
(Away) 24 Apr
Everton U21
3 : 2 Watford U21
20 Apr
Watford U21
3 : 1 Charlton U21
14 Apr
Huddersfield U21
1 : 1 Watford U21
10 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 2 Watford U21
27 Mar
Watford U21
6 : 0 Coventry U21
Page 1 of 6
24 Apr
Everton U21
3 : 2 Watford U21
14 Apr
Huddersfield U21
1 : 1 Watford U21
10 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 2 Watford U21
24 Mar
Peterborough U21
3 : 3 Watford U21
20 Mar
Millwall U21
2 : 0 Watford U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford U21 | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 67:34 | 58 |
| 2 | Sheffield Utd U21 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 58:39 | 52 |
| 3 | Bournemouth U21 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 67:47 | 50 |
| 4 | Swansea U21 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 69:50 | 48 |
| 5 | Peterborough U21 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 66:52 | 48 |
| 6 | Huddersfield U21 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 59:50 | 48 |
| 7 | Watford U21 | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 69:53 | 45 |
| 8 | Charlton U21 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 58:49 | 40 |
| 9 | Cardiff U21 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 48:39 | 40 |
| 10 | Wigan U21 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 67:58 | 38 |
| 11 | Hull City U21 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 49:53 | 37 |
| 12 | Barnsley U21 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 51:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Millwall U21 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 48:52 | 36 |
| 14 | Bristol City U21 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 45:54 | 35 |
| 15 | Coventry U21 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 46:63 | 35 |
| 16 | QPR U21 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 51:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 49:63 | 30 |
| 18 | Colchester U21 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40:77 | 24 |
| 19 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 36:63 | 23 |
| 20 | Crewe U21 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 41:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
