Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardiff U23 vs Crewe U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Lawton S.
72' Event
Crole J.
82' Event
Ashford C.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Cardiff U23 and Crewe U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Cardiff U23
15%
Draws
8%
Crewe U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Crewe U23 haven't matched Cardiff U23's recent run of results.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff U23 taking it.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Crewe U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U23 Crewe U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2022 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Crewe U23
2:1
Nov 1, 2020 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Cardiff U23
1:0
Apr 6, 2020 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Cardiff U23
0:0
Mar 25, 2019 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Crewe U23
1:3
Aug 25, 2017 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Crewe U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Crole J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ashford C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Crewe U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawton S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U23 58 / 100
Crewe U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U23 Crewe U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Crewe U23 conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Cardiff U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U23 VS Crewe U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U23

(Home)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
25 Apr
Coventry U23
1 : 2
Cardiff U23
19 Apr
Charlton U23
6 : 1
Cardiff U23
11 Apr
Hull City U23
3 : 0
Cardiff U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
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Crewe U23

(Away)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
28 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Coventry U23
25 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Charlton U23
20 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 0
Crewe U23
11 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd U23
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)