Sport Picks
Cardiff vs Birmingham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff 
Match Events
22'
22'
Salech Y.
Penalty Missed
32'
32'
Salech Y.
Assist: Tanner O.
50'
50'
Solis Romero J. E.
AI Match Summary
Cardiff in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Birmingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Birmingham lately — more wins on the board than Cardiff.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cardiff have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 14%
Birmingham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 Championship
Cardiff vs Birmingham
1:0
Apr 10, 2024 Championship
Birmingham vs Cardiff
0:1
Dec 13, 2023 Championship
Cardiff vs Birmingham
0:1
Aug 29, 2023 EFL Cup
Birmingham vs Cardiff
1:3
Feb 14, 2023 Championship
Birmingham vs Cardiff
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Salech Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Birmingham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff 35 / 100
Birmingham 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Birmingham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Birmingham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cardiff scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Birmingham has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Cardiff remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff VS Birmingham
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff
(Home) 04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3 West Ham
31 Oct
Wolves
3 : 0 Cardiff
24 Oct
Cardiff
1 : 0 Birmingham
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Cardiff
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1 Watford
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3 West Ham
24 Oct
Cardiff
1 : 0 Birmingham
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1 Watford
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 4
Birmingham
(Away) 03 Nov
Birmingham
3 : 0 Millwall
31 Oct
Lincoln City
1 : 3 Birmingham
24 Oct
Cardiff
1 : 0 Birmingham
17 Oct
Birmingham
3 : 0 QPR
13 Oct
Birmingham
4 : 0 Preston
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Lincoln City
1 : 3 Birmingham
24 Oct
Cardiff
1 : 0 Birmingham
10 Oct
West Brom
0 : 1 Birmingham
12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2 Birmingham
09 Sept
Norwich
2 : 1 Birmingham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
