Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardiff vs Charlton

England England

Championship Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Moylan J.
Assist: Salech Y.
24' Event
Salech Y.
Assist: Moylan J.
27'
Robertson A.

AI Match Summary

Cardiff in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cardiff
35%
Draws
28%
Charlton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff have won more games recently than Charlton.
  • Model gives Cardiff a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 16%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Charlton
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Cardiff vs Charlton
3:1
Jun 30, 2020 Championship
Cardiff vs Charlton
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Championship
Charlton vs Cardiff
2:2
Feb 13, 2016 Championship
Charlton vs Cardiff
0:0
Sep 26, 2015 Championship
Cardiff vs Charlton
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Compare

Top Goalscorer Moylan J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salech Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Charlton Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff 48 / 100
Charlton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Charlton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cardiff scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Charlton has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cardiff remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff VS Charlton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

(Home)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1
Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Charlton

(Away)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
QPR
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0
Charlton
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)