Sport Picks

England

EFL Cup Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Cardiff

1 - 2

Norwich

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Kvistgaarden M.

Assist: Wright J.

27'

Ng P.

33'

Davies I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Cardiff

30%

Draws

42%

Norwich

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Norwich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Norwich come out ahead of Cardiff on wins alone.
Cardiff are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Norwich arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Norwich, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Norwich have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Cardiff Clean Sheet 18%

Norwich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cardiff	Norwich
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	13	15
Draws	8	5
Losses	6	8
Goals Scored	2.37	1.54
Goals Conceded	1.52	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 EFL Cup

Cardiff vs Norwich

1:2

May 3, 2025 Championship

Norwich vs Cardiff

4:2

Nov 2, 2024 Championship

Cardiff vs Norwich

2:1

Feb 17, 2024 Championship

Norwich vs Cardiff

4:1

Nov 11, 2023 Championship

Cardiff vs Norwich

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Compare

Top Goalscorer Salech Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Norwich Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvistgaarden M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Crnac A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff 36 / 100

Norwich 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cardiff Norwich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Norwich has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Cardiff has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff VS Norwich

2.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

(Home)

29 Aug

Cardiff

2 : 2

Sheffield Utd

25 Aug

Cardiff

1 : 2

Norwich

22 Aug

Derby

2 : 2

Cardiff

17 Aug

Cardiff

1 : 1

Wrexham

08 Aug

Cardiff

3 : 2

Swindon

Page 1 of 6

Norwich

(Away)

29 Aug

Norwich

4 : 1

Burnley

25 Aug

Cardiff

1 : 2

Norwich

22 Aug

Millwall

3 : 0

Norwich

15 Aug

Norwich

1 : 2

West Brom

08 Aug

Norwich

4 : 1

Milton Keynes Dons

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Stockport County 1

Doncaster 2

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 2

Oldham 0

TBD -

Hull City -

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

TBD -

Coventry -

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea -

TBD -

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Nottingham -

TBD -

Leeds -

Ipswich -

TBD -

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

TBD -

Arsenal -

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Fulham -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 2

Newport 1

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham -

TBD -

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Cambridge Utd 2

Barnet 1

QPR 1

Millwall 2

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Rotherham 1

West Brom 4

Fleetwood Town 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford 1

Shrewsbury 2

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield Utd 3

Preston 2

Huddersfield 1

TBD -

Everton -

Sheffield Wed 1

Bolton 0

Wolves 3

Port Vale 0

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford Utd 0

Bradford City 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 2

Notts County 1

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1

Reading 2

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

TBD -

Brentford -

Watford 1

Crawley Town 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Barnsley 2

Wigan 1

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

1/32-finals

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Doncaster 1

Middlesbrough 3

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 1

Norwich 2

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 1

Hull City 2

Plymouth 2

Coventry 4

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea 2

Luton 0

Nottingham 0

Leeds 2

Ipswich 3

Leicester 1

TBD -

Arsenal -

Southampton 1

West Ham 4

Fulham 3

AFC Wimbledon 0

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Blackpool 1

Lincoln City 4

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham 5

Charlton 1

Cambridge Utd 0

Millwall 1

Newcastle Utd 3

West Brom 2

Fleetwood Town 4

Shrewsbury 0

Blackburn 1

Sheffield Utd 2

Preston 0

Everton 4

Sheffield Wed 0

Wolves 2

Walsall 0

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 1

Burnley 0

Stevenage 0

Reading 3

Birmingham 1

Brentford 6

Watford 1

Peterborough 5

Barnsley 3

Crewe 2

1/16-finals

Crystal Palace -

Middlesbrough -

Manchester United -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

Norwich -

Sunderland -

Hull City -

Coventry -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea -

Leeds -

Ipswich -

Arsenal -

West Ham -

Fulham -

Bournemouth -

Lincoln City -

Liverpool -

Tottenham -

Millwall -

Newcastle Utd -

Fleetwood Town -

Sheffield Utd -

Everton -

Wolves -

Leyton Orient -

Bradford City -

Reading -

Brentford -

Peterborough -

Barnsley -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Cardiff vs Norwich

England

Cardiff

Norwich

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Cardiff Compare

Norwich Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

Norwich

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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