Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Kvistgaarden M.
Assist: Wright J.
27'
27'
Ng P.
33'
33'
Davies I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norwich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Norwich come out ahead of Cardiff on wins alone.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Norwich arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Norwich, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Norwich have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 15%
Norwich Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 EFL Cup
Cardiff vs Norwich
1:2
May 3, 2025 Championship
Norwich vs Cardiff
4:2
Nov 2, 2024 Championship
Cardiff vs Norwich
2:1
Feb 17, 2024 Championship
Norwich vs Cardiff
4:1
Nov 11, 2023 Championship
Cardiff vs Norwich
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Salech Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Norwich Compare
Top Goalscorer Kvistgaarden M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Crnac A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff 35 / 100
Norwich 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Norwich
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Norwich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Cardiff scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Norwich has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Cardiff has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff VS Norwich
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff
(Home) 04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3 West Ham
31 Oct
Wolves
3 : 0 Cardiff
24 Oct
Cardiff
1 : 0 Birmingham
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Cardiff
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1 Watford
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3 West Ham
24 Oct
Cardiff
1 : 0 Birmingham
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1 Watford
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 4
Norwich
(Away) 03 Nov
Derby
0 : 4 Norwich
31 Oct
Norwich
3 : 2 Watford
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3 Norwich
17 Oct
Norwich
0 : 1 Portsmouth
14 Oct
Norwich
0 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Derby
0 : 4 Norwich
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3 Norwich
10 Oct
Swansea
2 : 1 Norwich
17 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 0 Norwich
12 Sept
Middlesbrough
4 : 3 Norwich
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Everton 3
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Brighton 2
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 1
Sunderland 3
Brentford 2
Liverpool 2
Chelsea 1
Bournemouth 3
Aston Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Everton -
Manchester City -
Bradford City -
Crystal Palace -
Sunderland -
Liverpool -
Bournemouth -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
