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Cardiff vs West Ham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Moylan J.
Assist: Robertson A.
23'
Kilman M.
25'
Magassa S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cardiff
20%
Draws
40%
West Ham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff haven't matched West Ham's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%
West Ham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff West Ham
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.96 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 Championship
Cardiff vs West Ham
3:3
Mar 9, 2019 Premier League
Cardiff vs West Ham
2:0
Dec 4, 2018 Premier League
West Ham vs Cardiff
3:1
Jan 11, 2014 Premier League
Cardiff vs West Ham
0:2
Sep 24, 2013 EFL Cup
West Ham vs Cardiff
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Compare

Top Goalscorer Moylan J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukasa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Engels A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff 30 / 100
West Ham 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff West Ham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Cardiff scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

West Ham let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Cardiff went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff VS West Ham
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

(Home)
31 Oct
Wolves
3 : 0
Cardiff
24 Oct
Cardiff
1 : 0
Birmingham
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Cardiff
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1
Watford
10 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 1
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

West Ham

(Away)
31 Oct
West Ham
1 : 3
West Brom
24 Oct
West Ham
2 : 3
Southampton
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1
West Ham
14 Oct
Lincoln City
0 : 6
West Ham
09 Oct
West Ham
1 : 1
QPR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 13 8 4 1 30:17 28
2 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
3 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
4 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
5 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
6 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
7 Wolves 13 7 3 3 23:16 24
8 West Ham 13 6 4 3 33:18 22
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 15:17 18
16 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
17 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
18 Cardiff 13 3 5 5 19:20 14
19 Wrexham 13 3 5 5 15:19 14
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)