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Cardoso Moreira vs Paduano EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event

AI Match Summary

Cardoso Moreira in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardoso Moreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cardoso Moreira
30%
Draws
37%
Paduano EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paduano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Cardoso Moreira have won more games recently than Paduano EC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 20%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardoso Moreira Paduano EC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Carioca B2
Cardoso Moreira vs Paduano EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardoso Moreira 36 / 100
Paduano EC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardoso Moreira Paduano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paduano EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardoso Moreira scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Paduano EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Cardoso Moreira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cardoso Moreira VS Paduano EC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardoso Moreira

(Home)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
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Paduano EC

(Away)
06 Oct
Friburguense
1 : 0
Paduano EC
01 Oct
Paduano EC
1 : 1
Campos AA
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)