Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cariari Pococi vs ADR Jicaral

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cariari Pococi play ADR Jicaral in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cariari Pococi averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. ADR Jicaral averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. In past meetings, Cariari Pococi won 2, ADR Jicaral won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 30, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Cariari Pococi and 1.75 for ADR Jicaral. This points to a ADR Jicaral double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cariari Pococi
32%
Draws
41%
ADR Jicaral
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Cariari Pococi picked up more points recently compared to ADR Jicaral.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 12%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariari Pococi ADR Jicaral
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Cariari Pococi
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs ADR Jicaral
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs ADR Jicaral
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Cariari Pococi
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariari Pococi 27 / 100
ADR Jicaral 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariari Pococi ADR Jicaral

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ADR Jicaral or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cariari Pococi attacking → ← attacking ADR Jicaral

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

ADR Jicaral let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Cariari Pococi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ADR Jicaral lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 61
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25