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Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Chacon E.
33'
34' Event
Paniagua D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Cariari Pococi and Guadalupe finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cariari Pococi
35%
Draws
19%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cariari Pococi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cariari Pococi come out ahead of Guadalupe on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cariari Pococi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariari Pococi Guadalupe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.39 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe
3:3
Mar 21, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Cariari Pococi
0:0
Feb 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe
3:1
Oct 2, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe
3:1
Aug 29, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Cariari Pococi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariari Pococi Compare

Top Goalscorer Morera F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Guadalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pemberton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariari Pococi 58 / 100
Guadalupe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariari Pococi Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cariari Pococi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Guadalupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cariari Pococi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariari Pococi VS Guadalupe
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cariari Pococi

(Home)
02 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
CS Uruguay
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

Guadalupe

(Away)
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 8 5 3 0 12:4 18
2 Quepos FC 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Grecia 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
4 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 8 2 0 6 11:18 6
7 Cofutpa 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
2 Santa Ana 9 6 0 3 13:10 18
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 9 4 2 3 8:8 14
5 Cariari Pococi 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 CS Uruguay 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
8 Guadalupe 9 1 3 5 10:17 6
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)