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Carina Gubin vs BKS Sparta Katowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carina Gubin host BKS Sparta Katowice in the III Liga - Group III. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. BKS Sparta Katowice have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Carina Gubin have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Carina Gubin slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 2.13, favoring BKS Sparta Katowice. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Carina Gubin
35%
Draws
40%
BKS Sparta Katowice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • BKS Sparta Katowice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • BKS Sparta Katowice are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carina Gubin BKS Sparta Katowice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs BKS Sparta Katowice
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Carina Gubin
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carina Gubin 22 / 100
BKS Sparta Katowice 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carina Gubin BKS Sparta Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Sparta Katowice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carina Gubin scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: BKS Sparta Katowice conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Carina Gubin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carina Gubin VS BKS Sparta Katowice
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carina Gubin

(Home)
10 Oct
Carina Gubin
0 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3
Stilon Gorzow
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
Page 1 of 6

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Away)
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1
Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)