Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Podgorski M.
45' Event
Podgorski M.
50' Event
Szela M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Carina Gubin and Polonia Nysa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Nysa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Carina Gubin
40%
Draws
29%
Polonia Nysa
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Carina Gubin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carina Gubin Polonia Nysa
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa
1:2
Nov 14, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Carina Gubin
2:2
Mar 4, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa
1:0
Aug 6, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Carina Gubin
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Szela M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Podgorski M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carina Gubin 32 / 100
Polonia Nysa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carina Gubin Polonia Nysa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carina Gubin scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Polonia Nysa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Carina Gubin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carina Gubin VS Polonia Nysa
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carina Gubin

(Home)
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3
Carina Gubin
11 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Carina Gubin
30 May
Carina Gubin
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
16 May
Carina Gubin
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Nysa

(Away)
18 Jul
Strzegom
0 : 0
Polonia Nysa
15 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0 : 2
Polonia Nysa
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
30 May
Carina Gubin
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
24 May
Polonia Nysa
2 : 3
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)