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Carina Gubin vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Barc M.
28' Event
Podgorski M.
50' Event
Barc M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Carina Gubin and Zaglebie Sosnowiec finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Carina Gubin
15%
Draws
73%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Carina Gubin have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Zaglebie Sosnowiec are scoring more at 1.28.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Zaglebie Sosnowiec taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carina Gubin Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.19 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carina Gubin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Barc M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Podgorski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carina Gubin 26 / 100
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carina Gubin Zaglebie Sosnowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie Sosnowiec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Carina Gubin scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Zaglebie Sosnowiec has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carina Gubin VS Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carina Gubin

(Home)
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3
Stilon Gorzow
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1
Carina Gubin
28 Aug
Carina Gubin
0 : 1
Barycz Sulow
Page 1 of 7

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Away)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
Barycz Sulow
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
29 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
2 Bytom Odrzanski 10 7 2 1 12:4 23
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 10 7 2 1 18:6 23
4 Barycz Sulow 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
6 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
7 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
8 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
9 ROW Rybnik 10 4 2 4 22:18 14
10 Stilon Gorzow 10 3 4 3 17:14 13
11 Warta Gorzow 10 3 4 3 10:16 13
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 10 3 2 5 18:16 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
15 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
17 Sleza Wroclaw 10 2 1 7 15:26 7
18 Carina Gubin 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)